Volatility and correlation-based systemic risk measures in the US market ¬リニ

نویسندگان

  • Jamil Civitarese
  • Alexandre Linhares
  • Cláudio Abreu
  • Marcelo Brogliato
  • Daniel Chada
  • Pedro Assis
چکیده

This paper deals with the problem of how to use simple systemic risk measures to assess portfolio risk characteristics. Using three simple examples taken from previous literature, one based on raw and partial correlations, another based on the eigenvalue decomposition of the covariance matrix and the last one based on an eigenvalue entropy, a Granger-causation analysis revealed some of them are not always a goodmeasure of risk in the S&P 500 and in the VIX. Themeasures selected do not Granger-cause the VIX index in all windows selected; therefore, in the sense of risk as volatility, the indicators are not always suitable. Nevertheless, their results towards returns are similar to previous works that accept them. A deeper analysis has shown that any symmetric measure based on eigenvalue decomposition of correlationmatrices, however, is not useful as ameasure of ‘‘correlation’’ risk. The empirical counterpart analysis of this proposition stated that negative correlations are usually small and, therefore, do not heavily distort the behavior of the indicator. © 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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تاریخ انتشار 2016